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Close elections

No Voting system can guarantee a clear result all the time, even FPTP.

Some close elections, where the winner won a bare majority, or where a third party or independents hold the balance of power include:

Contents

Australia

  • 1901-1913 party system yet to crystalise.
  • 1919 - introduce IRV (preferential voting)
  • 1939 - balance of power held by 2 independents.
  • 1961 - majority of 1 - 1963 election one year early to exploit opportunity to gain larger majority.

New South Wales

  • 19?? - introduce IRV
  • 1976 - majority of 1
  • 1992 - 3 independents hold balance of power
  • 1995 - majority of 3

South Australia

  • 1966 - Centre party holds balance of power - 1 seat


Canada


British Columbia

Saskatchewan

Manitoba

Ontario

Quebec

New Brunswick

Yukon

  • Yukon general election, 1992 Yuk 7, NDP 6, Lib 1, Ind 3
  • Yukon general election, 1989 NDP 9, PC 7
  • Yukon general election, 1985 NDP 8, PC 6, Lib 2

United Kingdom

  • FPTP
  • 1974-1979 - third parties hold balance of power

United States

Due to the electoral college, elections where the electoral vote was decided by a large margin could easily be reversed by the shifting of swing states. The results ignore faithless electors.

South Carolina went to Hayes by 889 votes, and the returns were accepted only after the Electoral Commission ruled. Justice Joseph P. Bradley cast the deciding swing vote in this election.

California was decided by about 4000 votes, and its 13 electoral votes would have swung the election if switched.

Ohio (25) and Hawaii (4) went Democratic by close margins.

The Florida debacle . The 537-vote Bush nailbiter would have given Gore a large victory if the victory was reversed. It is often stated that the Supreme Court case Bush v. Gore determined the election result, with Sandra Day O'Connor casting the deciding vote.

See also

The opposite of a result that is too close is one that is too lop-sided.

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